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The
basis behind using technical analysis is to find trends when looking at the
forex charts and be aware of when they first develop so you can ride the
trend until it ends. The foreign exchange market is a very strong trending
market, lots of ups and downs in short periods of time, and is, therefore, a
place where technical analysis can be very effective.
But even considering the great amount of indicators available, there are
still many traders every week who still end up buying (being "long") while
the currency pair is in a basic downtrend, or selling short when a market is
in a uptrend. This is, they end doing things backwards.
If you want to become a profitable forex trader you will need to use as many
technical indicators as you want, or create a personalized trading strategy
based off a combination of indicators, to recognize the trend. In other
words, professional Forex traders try to identify the major trend, the
intermediate trend, and the short-term trend and then construct their trades
in that direction, based on how long their rules allow them to hold a
position.
If the action of the market shows your judgment to be correct, the
successful trader 'stays with the market' and endeavors to make the maximum
profit on each trade, according to his/her risk-to-reward / equity
management rules. If and when the market goes against him/her, the smart
trader will take profits and get out. In a narrow market, when prices are
not going anywhere to speak of, but move within a narrow range, there is no
sense in trying to anticipate when the next BIG movement is going to be - up
or down.
In short, if you want to be in good profitable terms with the forex markets
you must follow this words of wisdom: “Never argue with the market, or ask
it for reasons or explanations”.
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