A lot of interest has been generated recently in FOREX trading, hailed by
some as the great new investment opportunity. There are even companies
running TV infomercials, offering sure fire systems that will bring massive
profits in an easy fashion.
So what is forex? Is it something new? The exchange of currencies is said by
some to be the world's second oldest profession and as long as there have
been two sovereign states that have issued their own currencies, there has
been foreign exchange as a facilitator for trade.
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Forex, as foreign exchange has been abbreviated to, has been conducted for
centuries and has become a global market with a daily turnover according to
a recent Bank for International Settlements survey of $1.9 trillion
(billion, billion) per day. Essentially it is a global market place with no
physical exchange building where all claims on foreign currencies are
settled - between governments, corporations, investors and speculators among
others. Banks have traditionally been the middlemen who provide the
liquidity to this gigantic market, which incidentally is traded on an almost
continuous 24-hour basis.
Then came the Internet and suddenly it became possible for everyone to get a
piece of the speculative action. Brokers sprouted up with their electronic
trading platforms and high 'leverage'. Essentially the brokers lend clients
funds to speculate with, 100:1 or in some cases up to 400:1 ratio, or
leverage. This means that $10,000 can 'control' up to $4,000,000 in the
market. This is far higher than is possible in the stock market.
Many people have been attracted to the possibilities of earning
fast profits from forex. There are often sharp movements that can turn your
$10,000 to $20,000 in a matter of minutes. You can also get wiped out, but
the lure of a fast buck has turned would-be speculators into out-and-out
gamblers.
The Internet has also made it possible for the individual to obtain
so-called 'charts', that allow them to do 'technical analysis' on their own
PCs. The theory is that price movement patterns repeat themselves, so if you
have a system of analysis, you can predict a future move in the market.
This may well be the case, but it does not address the problems of the
psychology of trading - the fear and greed that drives many to irrational
behavior. People are often taken in by the seller of a system, often paying
$5,000 for a piece of software that shows a green light to buy and a red
light to sell. However, they don't tell you how to manage your money.
So speculators lose. It has been estimated that 90% of new
investors in forex lose their capital in the first year - an appalling
figure. What can one do to avoid being a victim? Well, forex is a business
like any other business and planning is required. It is also a profession
and as such, adequate training is necessary so that you understand fully
what forex trading is all about.
Many are prepared to invest thousands in forex trading without really
knowing what it is all about. Just think if franchises were offered in a
major hamburger chain without the franchisees having a clue how to run a
restaurant or even make the burgers. The failure rate would also probably be
90%!
As with all investing, it is all a matter of risk and reward. Investing in
Government securities is considered low risk, therefore they carry the
lowest return. Increase the risk (the probability of loss on the
investment), the higher an investor is rewarded in terms of return. An
individual trading forex decides his own level of risk, which should dictate
the level of reward. However, in the hands of an inexperienced trader, the
two factors are impossible to reconcile, meaning in stark terms that traders
cannot control the risk or the reward levels.
People attracted to forex trading often have an unrealistic
expectation of what can be earned. To start with an investment of $5,000 and
expect to be making $100,000 a year after the first year is unrealistic. It
is not impossible; then again, neither is winning the lottery.
If the parameters for trading are laid down and adhered to combined with
knowledge of forex trading, success is possible. It does not take much in
the way of 'enhanced' returns to be able to double an investment. 26% per
annum is required to double your investment within 3 years.
Who is going to teach you? There are some very good courses available, but
these will only give you the theory, in itself very important. The ideal way
is to have a mentor, or guide to show you the way.
Getting mentored is a wise move because it makes it possible to
draw on the experience of a veteran expert and avoid making the common
mistakes that cause the unwary to suffer catastrophic losses. After a while
under guidance, a forex trader will gain the experience
The bottom line is that forex is not in itself a scam. There are for sure
scam artists who prey on individuals' greed as there are in any other
business. If it is approached in a sensible and realistic manner and the
trader is prepared to work hard, forex can provide a good living both
financially and materially.
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