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There are basically two types of Forex trading systems, mechanical and
discretionary systems. The trading signals that come out of mechanical
systems are mainly based off technical analysis applied in a systematic way.
On the other hand, discretionary systems use experience, intuition or
judgment on entries and exits. But which one produces better results? Or
more importantly, which one fits better your trading style? These are the
answers we will try to answer on this article.
We will first analyze the pros and cons about each system approach.
Mechanical systems
Advantages
This kind of system can be automated and back tested efficiently.
It has very rigid rules. Either, there is a trade or there isn’t.
Mechanical traders are less susceptible to emotions than discretionary
traders.
Disadvantages
Most traders back test Forex trading systems incorrectly. In order to
produce accurate results you need tick data.
The Forex market is always changing. The Forex market (and all markets)
has a random component. The market conditions may look similar, but they are
never the same.
A system that worked successfully the past year doesn’t necessary mean it
will work this year.
Discretionary systems
Advantages
Discretionary systems are easily adaptable to new market conditions.
Trading decisions are based on experience. Traders learn to see which
trading signals have higher probability of success.
Disadvantages
They cannot be back tested or automated, since there is always a thought
decision to be made.
It takes time to develop the experience required to trade successfully and
track trades in a discretionary way. At early stages this can be dangerous.
Now, which approach is better for Forex traders? The one that fits better
your personality. For instance, if you are a trader that finds it hard to
follow your trading signals, then you are better off using a mechanical
system, where your judgment won’t play an important role in your system. You
only take the trades that your system signals.
If the psychological barriers that affect every trader (fear, greed,
anger, etc.) puts you in unwanted scenarios, you are also better off trading
mechanical systems, because you only need to follow what your system is
telling you, go short, go long, close a trade. No other decision has to be
made.
On the other hand, if you are a disciplined trader, then you are better off
using a discretionary system, because discretionary systems adapt to the
market conditions and you are able to change your trading conditions as the
market changes. For instance, you have a target of 60 pips on a long trade.
But the market suddenly starts trending up pretty strongly, then you could
move your target to say 100 pips.
Does it mean that trading a discretionary system has no rules? This is
absolutely incorrect. Trading discretionary systems means that once a trader
finds his/her setup, the trader then decides what to do. But every trader
still needs certain rules that need to be followed, such as the size of the
position, conditions that have to be met before thinking to get in the
market, and so on.
I am a discretionary trader. The main reason I chose a discretionary system
is that my trades are based on price behavior, and as you already know, the
price behaves similar to the past, but it is never identical, therefore the
outcome of every trade is unknown. However, I do have rigid rules on my
system, certain conditions have to be met before I even think in getting in
a trade. This keeps me out of trouble, once my setup is present and in
accordance with the rules I have set, I closely watch the price behavior and
finally decide whether it is a good opportunity or not.
Whether you choose to be a discretionary or a mechanical trader there are
some important points you should take in consideration:
1. You need to make sure the Forex trading system you are using totally fits
your personality. Otherwise you will find yourself outguessing your system.
2. You also need to have some rules and most importantly have the discipline
to follow them.
3. Take your time to build the perfect system for you. It’s not easy and
requires time and hard work, but at the end, if done correctly, it will give
you consistent profitable results.
4. Before going live, try it on a demo account or even on a small account (I
will go for the second option, since psychological barriers will be
present.)
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